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One of the big reasons why I encourage students to build an Area Study is so we have a framework through which to understand our neighborhood and broader community. Organizing community security before or during an emergency is a lot like building a house. We need expert builders, we need quality materials, and we need […]

At 0800 on 20 January 2017, Forward Observer’s Analysis & Control Element (ACE) began battle tracking civil disturbances in the Capitol area of Washington DC during the Inauguration of President Donald J. Trump. What follows is the Situation Report as of 1830hrs Eastern. You can view the battle tracking map here.   THREAT ACTIVITY: Thousands […]

This is the second article in a series about using intelligence for preparedness.  I’m starting from square zero in order to introduce a new crop of Americans to the concept of using intelligence, to prove that there’s a need for intelligence, and to get readers quickly up to speed on how to incorporate it into […]

This is the first article in a series about using intelligence for preparedness.  I’m starting from square zero in order to introduce a new crop of Americans to the concept of using intelligence, to prove that there’s a need for intelligence, and to get readers quickly up to speed on how to incorporate it into […]

During my last tour in Afghanistan, Palantir was quickly becoming the sweetheart analysis software suite of the Army and Marine Corps.  Before I deployed, I sat through a class offered by the company, and immediately recognized that it’s great software.  Intelligently designed, easy to use, top notch functionality, and categorization options allow an end-user to […]

Samuel Culper is the Director of Forward Observer’s Open Source Intelligence service. He was an Army and contract Intelligence analyst with multiple tours in Iraq and Afghanistan, and is the author of SHTF Intelligence: An Intelligence Analyst’s Guide to Community Security. A report produced last month for the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) examines […]

In any community, there are stabilizing factors and destabilizing factors — it doesn’t matter if the it’s the Global Community or the Shady Acres subdivision.  And these destabilizing factors go doubly so during an SHTF event where there’s much more likely to be instability. There are going to be people and events that cause security […]

Situation Report (SITREP) – 1900L 29 JAN 16 by Sam Culper What follows is my personal account of following the situation of late Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning, including talks with sources on the ground and on conference calls with Sergeant Major Joseph Santoro (U.S.A., Ret.), Stewart Rhodes, State Representative Matthew Shea (R-WA), Jason […]

UPDATE:  Reports of a convoy headed from the Burns Municipal Airport out to the Malheur Refuge, video screenshots below. Expect a cordon to be put into place.                   — This evening, the FBI made a felony stop on a vehicle carrying Ammon Bundy and several other individuals. […]

Situation Report (SITREP) for 2200L 25 JAN 2016   – Yesterday’s report of a decrease of federal and state law enforcement personnel in the vicinity of (IVO) Burns, OR has been confirmed. Sources IVO Burns report a noticeable decrease of Oregon State Police, as well as federal vehicles and personnel based out of the Burns […]