September 4th, 2012

How Long Will The Dollar Remain The World’s Reserve Currency?


Sinkingdollar

This article was written by Ron Paul and originally published at Paul.House.Gov

We frequently hear the financial press refer to the U.S. dollar as the “world’s reserve currency,” implying that our dollar will always retain its value in an ever shifting world economy.  But this is a dangerous and mistaken assumption.

Since August 15, 1971, when President Nixon closed the gold window and refused to pay out any of our remaining 280 million ounces of gold, the U.S. dollar has operated as a pure fiat currency.  This means the dollar became an article of faith in the continued stability and might of the U.S. government.

In essence, we declared our insolvency in 1971.   Everyone recognized some other monetary system had to be devised in order to bring stability to the markets.

Amazingly, a new system was devised which allowed the U.S. to operate the printing presses for the world reserve currency with no restraints placed on it– not even a pretense of gold convertibility! Realizing the world was embarking on something new and mind-boggling, elite money managers, with especially strong support from U.S. authorities, struck an agreement with OPEC in the 1970s to price oil in U.S. dollars exclusively for all worldwide transactions. This gave the dollar a special place among world currencies and in essence backed the dollar with oil.

In return, the U.S. promised to protect the various oil-rich kingdoms in the Persian Gulf against threat of invasion or domestic coup. This arrangement helped ignite radical Islamic movements among those who resented our influence in the region. The arrangement also gave the dollar artificial strength, with tremendous financial benefits for the United States. It allowed us to export our monetary inflation by buying oil and other goods at a great discount as the dollar flourished.

In 2003, however, Iran began pricing its oil exports in Euro for Asian and European buyers.  The Iranian government also opened an oil bourse in 2008 on the island of Kish in the Persian Gulf for the express purpose of trading oil in Euro and other currencies. In 2009 Iran completely ceased any oil transactions in U.S. dollars.  These actions by the second largest OPEC oil producer pose a direct threat to the continued status of our dollar as the world’s reserve currency, a threat which partially explains our ongoing hostility toward Tehran.

While the erosion of our petrodollar agreement with OPEC certainly threatens the dollar’s status in the Middle East, an even larger threat resides in the Far East.  Our greatest benefactors for the last twenty years– Asian central banks– have lost their appetite for holding U.S. dollars.  China, Japan, and Asia in general have been happy to hold U.S. debt instruments in recent decades, but they will not prop up our spending habits forever.  Foreign central banks understand that American leaders do not have the discipline to maintain a stable currency.

If we act now to replace the fiat system with a stable dollar backed by precious metals or commodities, the dollar can regain its status as the safest store of value among all government currencies.  If not, the rest of the world will abandon the dollar as the global reserve currency.

Both Congress and American consumers will then find borrowing a dramatically more expensive proposition. Remember, our entire consumption economy is based on the willingness of foreigners to hold U.S. debt.  We face a reordering of the entire world economy if the federal government cannot print, borrow, and spend money at a rate that satisfies its endless appetite for deficit spending.




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2 Responses to “How Long Will The Dollar Remain The World’s Reserve Currency?”

  1. 1
    Austrian Economics is Color Blind Says:

    Ron Paul predicted the housing crash in 2001:

    Ron Paul: “This real-estate bubble will burst, as all bubbles do” (part 3)
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KONpt9a6HrI

    As well as in 2003:

    Ron Paul Calls the Housing Collapse in 2003
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9S3lXDOQ7ec

    Further, he has been talking about the issues in the oritingal post for a few decades, now. Here’s Ron Paul in 1983 debating these issues with a then member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors:

    Gold versus Discretion: Ron Paul Debates Charles Partee
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kcm8VvBcUdE

    If you want to know how Ron Paul was able to see the housing crash coming ahead of time, this video does a great job of eplaining the logical consequences of massive expansions of the money supply – something that can easily be done with fiat money and not with precious metal money:

    Smashing Myths and Restoring Sound Money | Thomas E. Woods, Jr.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HAzExlEsIKk

  2. 2
    jonkirby2012.wordpress. com Says:

    I was researching the congressman Larry McDonald’s case tonight. You know the one
    Where the Rothchild’s make a call and scramble a soviet fighter to shoot down
    an unarmed everyday passenger korean airplane entering Japanese waters killing 269 people and the congressman Oh why do I say that because of the congressman’s adamant attacks on the CFR and they state there intentions for all to read! To destroy our constitution bit by bit . Anyway I went on Wikipedia on his profile I find he was a john birch member and later even president to. So I paid a visit to their website now remember John birch society is as American as apple pie, I mean
    They supported McCarthy’s communist witch hunts to the tee. I’m not sure how they missed the Zionist that actually rule everything but that’s for another day.
    You will never guess what they are advocating or why it is so unlike them
    I just can’t believe it! To get the full effect of what my story is you need to watch
    My front web page video of bill Still’s “secrets of oz ” Bill goes through our nations
    struggle against the city of London to prevent the bankers from introducing a central
    banking system here in this country even to the detriment of many of our presidents
    being shot over its a very stirring account a story that we all must watch but not only to know our true story but it also has for us the real solution to the banking crisis, and our depression its brought also most of the rest of the worlds misery. Bring back the greenbacks dollars with no debt and Not backed by gold! Which is always the bankers
    position. Please watch “secrets of oz” YouTube or front page of my site. jonkirby2012.wordpress. com John Birch Society is pushing a gold standard
    find out why this is so wrong. And Know the truth of your history .

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